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Book synopsis

Energy needs...oil supplies...inflation rates...the demand for new homes...in concerns like these, forecasting plays a crucial role. Forecasts not only determine how billions of dollars will be spent by also commit national policies far into the future; yet, no one really knows how to judge the reliability of forecasts. In this innovative study, William Ascher examines the records of expert forecasting of national trends in population, economics, energy, transportation, and technology over a fifty-year period. The results help to identify both the accuracies and hidden biases of forecasting techniques, information that should be of vital interest to all policy-makers and planners.

Book details

Book category Books in English Society & social sciences Politics & government Political science & theory

• Full title: Forecasting
• Subtitle: An Appraisal for Policy-Makers and Planners
• Author: William L. Ascher, Harold D. Lasswell
• Language: English
• Binding: Paperback
• Number of pages: 256
• EAN: 9780801822735
• ISBN: 0801822734
• ID: 04708332
• Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
• Weight: 397 g
• Dimensions: 229 × 152 × 15 mm
• Date of publishing: 17. February 1978

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