Kód: 06819089
Since 1980, China s economy quintupled. This §growth brought about considerable welfare §gains for the population. However, this also §lead to challenges for China s energy §security (e.g. increasing oil-imports) §and severe regio ... celý popis
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Since 1980, China s economy quintupled. This §growth brought about considerable welfare §gains for the population. However, this also §lead to challenges for China s energy §security (e.g. increasing oil-imports) §and severe regional environmental problems (e.g. SO2-§emissions and acid rain). Thus, the environment is §gaining an increasing role on the political agenda §and environmental considerations are likely to play §a much more important role in China s future energy §security policy. Until 2020, GDP and energy §consumption will further increase. Taking this into §account, future Chinese energy security strategy §constitutes an inter-temporal welfare optimisation §problem under domestic resources availability and §environmental constraints. In this study, a dynamic §inter-temporal optimisation model of energy §resources consumption and SO2-emissions is build up §and taken as a yardstick for the efficiency of §different energy security policy measures. As a §result, optimal control theory gives a normative §answer to the question how the utilisation of the §fossil resources and the environment has to be §chosen to maximise inter-temporal welfare in China.
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